Application of Multiple Linear Regression Methods to Estimate Population Numbers in Pakpak Bharat Regency

Abstract

Population growth in a region has an influential role in progress and is the main indicator of the region's development potential. This research will discuss population growth in Pakpak Bharat Regency. The estimation technique that will be applied is Multiple Linear Regression. The choice of this method is due to its ability to produce estimates or predictions using historical data regarding population growth, so that it can form a significant relationship pattern. The aim of applying the Multiple Linear Regression Method is to produce optimal predictions. Research data covers the population of Pakpak Bharat Regency during the 2016-2020 period. The results of research using the Multiple Linear Regression Method show population growth in 2021 of 5,235,105 people, which means there will be an additional 5,121 individuals in Pakpak Bharat Regency in 2021.